Wednesday, September 8, 2021

CURBING CANCEL CULTURE

Soon the "Name Exploration Subcommittee" of Cabrillo College's Governing Board will transition into the next phase of the process adopted to consider potentially changing our community college's name and identity. This controversial issue resurfaced mid-2020, and has continued as a topic of discussion of variable intensity ever since. While both sides of the debate have presented reasonable arguments, and while I don't question the sincerity of those proposing a name change, I do believe they are wrong, and possibly even counterproductive to their own cause. The subject emerged as an outgrowth of what has been referred to as "cancel culture," which has initiated drives to remove statues and names of historical figures deemed undesirable by a subset of our population. Some of this appears defensible as erasing the glorification of confederate "traitors" during the Civil War. However, the movement has become rudderless and is in danger of spiraling out of control. In January of this year, the San Francisco Board of Education voted 6-1 to rename 44 schools to "dismantle symbols of racism and white supremacy culture." Among those were some named after Abraham Lincoln, George Washington and Dianne Feinstein. What proponents of the change object to is that the college was named after Juan Rodriguez Cabrillo, the first European to explore present-day California as he navigated the coast and entered San Diego Bay in September of 1542. Before becoming a maritime explorer, Cabrillo fought as conquistador and captain of crossbowmen in the army of Herman Cortes during the Spanish-Aztec War of 1519-21. As reward for services rendered, the king of Spain introduced Cabrillo to the encomienda system, granting a long-term lease of property, which included the right to the use of indigenous slave labor. Slave labor became the basis of his wealth. Compared to today's values, Cabrillo was a cruel man who took advantage of the norms in place during the time in which he lived, and who was recognized for historical firsts almost a century before the colonization of North America began. Digging deeper into the life of this historic figure will expose the cruelty associated with the time period in which he lived. However, that misses the point. What the anti-Cabrillo advocates are engaged in is not just a form of "cancel culture," it is what some historians refer to as "presentism," an uncritical adherence to present-day attitudes, especially the tendency to interpret past events in terms of modern values and concepts. It means looking backward in time to condemn or condone historical figures for living in their own time in history, instead of adopting today's attitudes and norms. Historians strive to understand what people said and did in the context of the time they lived in, not criticize them for failing to live in our time. So, where do we draw the line? At least twelve of our presidents were slave owners at some point during their lives. These included Washington, Jefferson, Madison and others. By the time George Washington died in 1799, there were 317 enslaved people at his Mount Vernon estate. Should we tear down the Washington Monument? Rename Washington State? Remove George Washington from the dollar bill? Thirty-one counties and 241 townships carry his name... At the time, our Constitution, the law of the land, supported slavery. Until 1808 it prohibited Congress from regulating the international slave trade (Art. I, sect. 9). Until Reconstruction, the Fugitive Slave Clause (Art. IV, sect. 2) guaranteed the right of slave owners to pursue and reclaim their slaves anywhere throughout the country. Abraham Lincoln's Emancipation Declaration was arguably a political statement, not a moral one. He only freed the slaves in rebellious states. We tend to interpret only what we want to believe... Harry Truman approved the use of nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, killing 105,000 civilians and maiming 94,000 more. But we contextualize... Aristotle, one of the greatest philosophers, who made positive contributions to modern political theory, physics, economic and psychology, was openly supportive of slavery, and saw women as subject to men. Shakespeare, in "The Merchant of Venice," used highly stereotypical, pejorative depictions of Jewish people. Shylock, its main character, openly personifies anti-semitic prejudices of the time. But we continue to produce the play. And so it goes. Renaming Cabrillo College is not just a local concern, it is more consequential than that. Removing a name does not erase history, but it does remove opportunities to learn from it. Leland Stanford Jr., a "robber baron" and namesake of Stanford University, has been held responsible for ruthlessly exploiting and mistreating thousands of Chinese workers when constructing the Central Pacific railroad line. The Stanford student body, on numerous occasions, decided to use his history for teachable moments rather than opting to erase them. Cecil Rhodes, philanthropic contributor to the University of Cape Town and Oxford University, a profound racist and advocate of the "English master race," still retains his statue above a doorway on the front of Oxford's Rhodes Building, left in place because "we should learn from the past, rather than censoring history." Aside from the substantial cost and the overwhelming logistical issues involved, changing our college's name would do a disservice to thousands of alumni and stakeholders who, when referring to "Cabrillo," invoke the name of the institution. not honor a historic figure who lived five centuries ago. Don't change the name and erase what would provide important material for teachable moments. Theo Wierdsma

Tuesday, August 24, 2021

CONFRONTING HOMELESSNESS

As Californians attempt to cope with a multitude of vexing challenges, the plight of the homeless remains near the top of the list. While nationally, in 2020, 580,466 Americans experienced homelessness on any given night, 151,278 of these suffered in California alone. Nationwide, these statistics reveal a 2.2% increase over 2019. But, during the same period, homelessness in California grew by 6.8%, and surged 16.2% since 2007. Even though billions of dollars were spent on attempting to solve this problem, attempts to mitigate this crisis at any level have thus far proven relatively ineffective. One in nine Americans live in California. One in four homeless live in California. As some of what is being attempted appears to have a limited effect, it has been tempting to approach the subject from a wider perspective and study what, if anything, has worked elsewhere. This seemed reasonable. However, it turns out that our closest allies in the European Union are facing many of the same problems we do. According to "Feantsa", the "European Federation of National Organizations Working with the Homeless", at least 700,000 homeless people are sleeping rough or in emergency or temporary accommodations every night in the E.U. (2019 numbers). Most of these are in the U.K., the fewest in Germany, if we don't count the approximately 441,000 asylum seekers and refugees in temporary housing. This last observation actually points at a significant obstacle analysts are forced to wrestle with. Few states adopt a universal definition of homelessness. Cross country comparisons don't necessarily measure comparable data. When the European Parliament called on E.U. member states to stop homelessness by 2030, the first bullet point in its resolution stipulated the need to develop a common definition to "improve data collection and coherent indicators to be able to better understand and assess the extend of the problem." In this country, many states use the definition provided in the "McKinney-Vento Homeless Assistance Act" of 1987, which identifies the homeless as "individuals who lack a fixed, regular and adequate nighttime residence." But multiple states include a variety of other qualifying categories in their calculations, and eleven states don't define it at all. These differences aren't just confusing academic debating points, they can have a significant practical effect on the allocation of resources. For example, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) uses a much narrower definition of homelessness than what is used by the the Department of Education (ED), which forms the basis of funding allocation to school districts. HUD estimates that there are 500,000 homeless. ED reports that 1.36 million children experience some form of homelessness. When the "Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development" (OECD) attempted to execute a count of homeless across countries, 16 countries included people temporarily living with family and friends, 15 included people living in institutions and 15 also covered those living in non-conventional dwellings. It is clear that there appears to be little agreement on how to define the concept of homelessness. Most researchers do agree, however, that homelessness is a complex social problem with a variety of underlying economic and social factors. such as lack of affordable housing, poverty, uncertain physical and mental health and addictions. One can argue about cause and effect, or whether the severe stress people face when they lose shelter and are forced to live exposed on the streets wreak havoc on their mental health and leads to substance abuse. However, the most significant cause remains the cost of housing. William Yu, an economist at UCLA, identified a direct correlation between the cost of housing and homelessness. For instance, in West Virginia, which has one of the lowest homeless rates, the medium home value is $98,300. In California, which has the highest rate, the medium rate is $548,700. In Mississippi, which has the highest poverty rate of any state, the homeless rate is also among the lowest. Homelessness experts agree that emergency shelters are mostly just a band-aid. Permanent supportive housing is the long term solution. This conclusion has led to the development of one of the most promising strategies to mitigate this evolving crisis - identified as "Housing First." This model seeks to move homeless people into permanent housing as quickly as possible, before addressing other issues. The approach was first developed in New York during the early nineties, and has successfully trickled through to a number of cities, states and some countries. Those opposed to this scenario criticize its expense, and decry what they identify as a reduced focus on the human care most homeless need. Proponents argue that giving people homes rather than first getting them "ready" for housing by placing them in shelters, rehab or half-way houses makes much more sense. Overseas, Finland, the only E.U. member state with decreasing numbers of homeless, has used this strategy deliberately and effectively for years. Its homeless count shrunk from 19,000 earlier this century to 4,600 today. In this country, Utah is on track to become the first state in the nation to eradicate homelessness. Using the same concept, its homeless count has decreased by 72% since 2005, at greatly reduced expense. It used to cost Salt Lake City more than $20,000 a year to take care of chronically homeless. It now costs the state just $8,000 to put them into permanent housing. Daniel G. Garrett, Assistant Professor of finance at the Wharton School of Business, concluded that providing permanent supportive housing to the homeless community actually saves the taxpayer money: healthcare cost is reduced by 59%, emergency department expenses are reduced by 61%, and the number of general inpatient hospitalizations decrease by 77%. The point is, there is a way forward. The question remains whether our decision makers are willing to attempt to fundamentally change how we confront our acute homelessness crisis. Theo Wierdsma

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

CHILD SOLDIERS - A PERSISTENT OUTRAGE

It is not terribly difficult to uncover disturbing feature articles in our news coverage these days. A recently published Associated Press op-ed by Sam Mednick, highlighting the chronic, but rarely publicized, unsettling subject of child combatants, as manifested in Burkina Faso, West Africa, stood out. His story poignantly summarized the experience of a 43 year-old mother who fortunately survived an attack by kids, trained to be assassins, during which 160 of her neighbors were killed. Fundamentally, the narrative exposed a subject matter that has been around, unabated, for centuries. Throughout history and in many cultures, children have been involved in military campaigns. For much of the time these entanglements were unregulated. The U.N., in the "Convention on The Rights of the Child" (CRC) made an attempt at establishing parameters by defining this group to be composed of young people under the age of 18, while the "International Criminal Court" declared that the recruitment or use of children under 15 was considered a war crime. Nevertheless, most warring parties took little notice. For a significant number of armed forces involved in combat, the temptation to recruit, abduct, and train under-aged fighters appear irresistible. Recruiters target children from troubled areas or conflict zones, who are accustomed to violence, and who have few educational or work opportunities. Child soldiers come cheap. They are more easily manipulated when forced into combat, and who, ultimately, are considered expendable. Besides being used as fighters, they become informants, looters, messengers, spies, cooks, sex slaves, and may end up employed to clear mine fields or are forced to become suicide bombers. Not all inductees are involuntary participants. Many are attempting to escape from grim socioeconomic conditions at home. To some, joining active military forces is considered to be a rite of passage into adulthood. Others are searching for identity, expressing the need to belong to something resembling a family. And there are those who seek refuge or who are looking for revenge after seeing friends and family killed. And there always are a few who feel compelled to go to war to show loyalty to a new country they immigrated into. Some observers readily dismiss the topic of child soldiers as an outgrowth of persistent post-colonial conflicts across many parts of Africa. And, indeed, a 2003 U.N. study concluded that up to half of all children involved with armed forces world-wide came from Africa. This amounted to an estimated 100,000 children in 2004, and grew to 120,000 four years later. Today, most of these are found predominantly in the Central African Republic, the Congo, Mali, Nigeria, Somalia, Sudan and South Sudan. However, it is not just an African problem. The use of child soldiers is far more widespread than the scant attention it typically receives. Statistics produced by the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) in 2005 concluded that 23% of armed organizations in the world (84 out of a total of 366) use children age 15 and under in combat roles. Eighteen percent of the total (64 of 366) use children 12 and under. There is no reason to believe that these totals have changed significantly since. A U.N. report published in June 2020 summarized that there were still an estimated 250,000child soldiers employed in 20 countries world-wide, while, according to "Child Soldiers International," 50 countries still allow children to be recruited into armed forces. Although Africa may still be considered to be the epicenter of half the problem, the Americas (Colombia, Ecuador, El Salvador and others), Europe (Chechnya, Kosovo, Macedonia, and the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK) in Turkey), the Middle East and Central Asia (Sudan, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria) and Asia - (especially Myanmar, where more than 75,000 child soldiers - 20% of its total recruits - are under 15) make up the other half. (P.W. Singer, "The New Faces of War," AFT, Winter 2005-2006). This is, of course, nothing new. During the American Civil War, between 250,000 and 420,000 males under the age of 18 were involved in the fighting. An estimated 100,000 Union soldiers were 15 years old or younger. As many as 250,000 boys under the age of 18 served in the British army during World War I. (Recruitment officers were paid two shillings and sixpence for each new recruit and were not terribly scrupulous when signing up under-aged children.) Towards the end of World War II, Nazi Germany removed huge numbers of youths from schools and sent them out on what were essentially suicide missions. And children as young as 8 years old were reportedly captured by American troops as the fighting came to a close. The Japanese imperial army mobilized students aged 14-17, and ordered schools to force almost all students to "volunteer" to become soldiers.The numbers are all over the place. While doing the research you are readily overwhelmed by letters home written by very young soldiers who were rapidly stripped of their illusions of adventure and the glory of battle. Decades ago, Graca Machel, former First Lady of South Africa and wife of Nelson Mandela, in her function as "Special Expert" for the U.N. on this topic, summed up the outrage this appalling condition deserves to generate as follows: "These statistics are shocking enough, but more chilling is the conclusion to be drawn from them: more and more of the world is being sucked into a desolate moral vacuum, This is a space devoid of the most basic human values; a space in which children are slaughtered, raped, and maimed; a space in which children are exploited as soldiers; a space in which children are starved and exposed to extreme brutality. Such unregulated terror and violence speak of deliberate victimization. There are few further depths to which humanity can sink." Theo Wierdsma

Monday, July 26, 2021

TIME TO CLOSE GUANTANAMO

In response to the September 11 attacks, which killed 2,996, the U.S., joined by troops from the U.K., launched "Operation Enduring Freedom," and invaded Afghanistan on October 7, 2001. While in pursuit of Osama bin Laden and other al-Qaeda fighters, most of which escaped to neighboring Pakistan, the Taliban was driven from power and scattered throughout the countryside. In the process, the U.S. and an expanding contingent of coalition members, captured, held, and expressed the desire to interrogate a large number of suspected al-Qaeda and Taliban combatants, but needed to a find a place to do this. Guantanamo, a 45 square mile U.S. naval base on the south-east coast of Cuba, which the U.S. had been leasing since 1903, was considered to be perfect for this purpose. Guantanamo was secure and far from the front lines of battle. It was technically outside of U.S. territory, yet under complete U.S. control. In legal terms, the Bush administration considered it a zone in which its personnel could conduct detention and interrogation operations with few legal and judicial constraints. Moreover, the administration decided that the Geneva Convention would not apply to the conflict at hand. On January 11, 2002, the first flight with 20 detainees landed at Guantanamo. This total grew to a peak of 780 inmates before it began to shrink. Ultimately, President Bush released 540 prisoners, President Obama transferred 200, and President Trump got rid of 1. Today 39 captives remain. Many are being held without having been charged or tried. Of these, 17 are held in indefinite "law of war" detention as enemy combatants. They are neither facing tribunal charges nor being recommended for release. Another 10 have been recommended for transfer. They are no longer considered a threat to U.S. security, but they are still incarcerated. Of the remaining 12, 3 face proposed charges and 9 have been charged or convicted. The latter group includes Khalid Sheik Mohammed, the accused mastermind of the 9/11 attacks. Mohammed's trial was set to begin January 11, 2021, but it has been postponed because of myriad pretrial motions and complications related to the pandemic. Pressure to close the Guantanamo detention center has been building from the outset.. Early on, even President Bush admitted that the detention facility had become a "propaganda tool for our enemies and a distraction for our allies." Retired Major General Michael Lehnert, the first commander of the prison camp, during a House Foreign Affairs Committee meeting in March of 2016, was quoted to have concluded that "Guantanamo was a mistake. History will reflect that. It was created in the early days as a consequence of fear, anger, and political expediency. It ignored centuries of rule of law and international agreements. It does not make us safer and it sullies who we are as a nation." A major segment of consequential office holders, including President Obama, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, Senator McCain and others over time also indicated they wanted it closed. The Biden administration picked up where Obama left off, launching a National Security Council review with the intent of closing the facility before the president leaves office. The timing seems appropriate. Since we have officially announced the end of our war in Afghanistan, continued detention of prisoners of war is no longer justifiable. Under the rules of war, combatants can only hold prisoners of war without trial until the war ends. These are supposedly held in preventive detention to stop them from returning to the battle field. They should be released upon cessation of hostilities. (Article 118 of the Geneva Convention). While closing the Guantanamo detention camp is arguably desirable from a number of viewpoints, actually doing it proves complicated. Our moral authority as a nation was seriously compromised when we used torture to obtain information and secure confessions. Guantanamo undermined our security by diminishing international cooperation and alienating Muslim communities. Legally we are skirting the law by denying habeas corpus rights to inmates not being charged, even though the Supreme Court specifically held that federal law applies in these cases. (Rasul v. Bush (2004) and re-affirmed in Boumedienne v. Bush (2008)). Moreover, the cost of keeping the facility open amounts to $13 million per prisoner per year. At $540 million Guantanamo is the most expensive prison on earth. Objections to closing the camp are practical, legal and political. Sending remaining detainees back to their home country may not be easy. They may not all be welcome and could be endangered upon their return. Transferring others to the U.S. mainland for prosecution could also be an issue. Some could be found innocent, simply because confessions were secured under torture. Politically closing Guantanamo remains controversial as well. In 2015, the Senate passed a defense appropriations bill which specifically prohibited the transfer of detainees to the U.S., or the use of funds to build or modify a prison on the mainland to house those detainees. However, there probably are ways to get around these prohibitions. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin's statement during his January confirmation hearing that the administration would seek the closure of Guantanamo's detention facility drew a letter of rebuke signed by 7 Republican House members. They expressed their concern that those released would "become rock stars in the Islamist extremist world, posing an even greater threat to America and the world." This probably remains a sentiment held by many. But, after 20 years with a rapidly aging detainee contingent, we ought to cut to the chase, try and convict the master minds behind the 9/11 attacks, transfer or release the remaining prisoners, and close the facility down! The advantages far outweigh any potential ramifications. The place has been an albatross around our collective neck for too long. Theo Wierdsma

Tuesday, July 13, 2021

THE ESSENCE OF "CRITICAL RACE THEORY”

Well ahead of the 2022 election cycle, our culture wars are already intensifying. One of the not-so-subtle political dog whistles permeating partisan bickering focuses on what is referred to as "Critical Race Theory" (CRT), which relatively recently morphed from an obscure academic discussion point on the left into a political rallying cry on the right. The concept theorizes that racism is not just demonstrated acts of individual bias or prejudice, but is rather embedded in our institutions, policies and legal systems. In short, it suggests that it is systemic. During the 1970s, legal scholars, activists and lawyers, frustrated with the limitations of the civil-rights movement, tried to understand why civil-rights-era victories had stalled and were being eroded. They were exasperated by traditional civil-rights discussions, which predicted that racism would stop once we stop thinking about race. In other words, ignore skin color in everything and the problem of racism will eventually disappear. Acknowledging this incrementalist approach, a growing number of them banned together and developed a coherent framework within which to confront our history of race and racism, and provide us with the ability to think about present-day implications. In light of last year's police killing of George Floyd, 240 other African Americans and 159 Hispanic Americans, parents and educators grappled with the question of how to handle conversations about race and racism in schools. "Critical Race Theory" provided an available academic framework within which to pursue this effort. Politicians and conservative pundits quickly latched onto the concept, arguing that its teachings are un-American, in spite of the fact that there is very little evidence that it is actually being taught to K-12 public school students. In many classrooms the subject never even comes up.However, facts don't matter in today's political environment. CRT opponents now use the term as a catch-all phrase for virtually all examinations of systemic racism. Opponents have argued that "Critical Race Theory" is a Marxist framework that suggests that our nation is inherently evil and that white people should feel guilty for their skin color. More than two dozen states have passed or introduced bills that aim to stymie educational discussions about race, racism and systemic oppression in the U.S. The Florida law specifically stipulates that educators cannot teach "Critical Race Theory." The GOP-controlled legislature in Tennessee passed a sweeping law banning educators from discussing racism, sexism, bias and other social issues with students altogether. Some bills explicitly prevent the teaching of the New York Times' "1619 project," which was launched in August of 2019, to commemorate the 400th anniversary of the arrival of the first enslaved Africans in the English colony of Virginia. Its aim was to place the consequences of slavery and the contributions of African-Americans at the very center of our national narrative. And Senators Tom Cotton, Marsha Blackburn and Mitch McConnell recently reintroduced the "Saving American History Act," which would block federal funds to schools teaching about this project. Overall, the mantra seems to be that the subject is divisive, and that it is even racist to examine the role of race in U.S. systems and structures. That doing so would teach kids to hate their country and to hate each other. Academic supporters of the concept suggest that there is nothing in "Critical Race Theory" that promotes any of the adverse consequences critics are blaming it for. Kimberle Crenshaw, law professor at the UCLA School of Law and Columbia Law School, a founding CRT theorist, admonishes that: "When you're really serious about addressing a problem, the last thing you do is punish people for building the tools to see the problem, to analyze the problem and to develop the capacity to remove the problem. "Critical Race Theory" is not a coherent school of thought. It is simply an effort to confront our history of race and racism and to give us the capacity to think about its implications." During a different time, it was political scientist and U.S. National Security Advisor to President Jimmy Carter, Zbigniew Brzezinski, who argued that the term "war on terror" was intended to deliberately generate a culture of fear, because it "obscures reason, intensifies emotions and makes it easier for demagogic politicians to mobilize the public on behalf of the policies they want to pursue." We could draw a direct parallel to the situation today, given that we are involved in a culture war, and that a significant slice of the electorate has no clue about the essence of "Critical Race Theory," other than what their manipulators suggest. We have to assume that the application of this political dog whistle is solely intended to elicit fear and mobilize constituents in advance of next year's elections. Theo Wierdsma

Tuesday, June 29, 2021

DOOMSDAY LOOMS FOR AFGHAN ALLIES

In April, President Biden announced that, after being engaged there for twenty years, the U.S. would withdraw all its troops from Afghanistan by September 11 of this year. When we initiated this war on October 7, 2001, our objectives were to dismantle al qaeda, remove the Taliban from power and remake the country into a democracy. While we had some successes early on, we ultimately ended up frustrated. As the British found out almost 200 years ago, and the Soviet Union more recently, the political, cultural and geographic complexity of Afghanistan is such that foreign powers have an insurmountable task of putting their own stamp on the country. During the process of trying, we spent $2.26 trillion, lost 2,312 lives, while the local Afghan population suffered in excess of 6,400 casualties. Following our departure, Afghanistan anticipates only a limited number of possible outcomes: a takeover of the country by the Taliban, which has grown in strength and gained control over progressively more territory ever since the announcement was made; a defeat of the Taliban by the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces, which is having an increasingly more difficult job without the support of U.S. air power; or a resurgent civil war. On the U.S. side, President Biden's announcement was largely met with relief. Pursuit of our mission had rapidly become indefensible, and the feeling that it was time to bring the troops home already prevailed. But what is relief for some, converts to anxiety among the 50,000 plus Afghans who served with our military units during the past twenty years. Of these, 18,000 and up to 53,000 family members are nervously attempting to obtain the necessary visas to leave the country for the U.S.. Most fear assassination by Taliban militia who view them as traitors. There have already been at least 300 targeted killings of people who worked with us. If we don't get our act together and get them out, many more could end up being slaughtered. The timetable for withdrawal already accelerated. At the current rate we could complete our exit as soon as some time in July. Regardless, even if we run the operation out until the September 11 completion target, there are at most three months left. Not enough time for our State Department to process the admitted backlog of 18,000 Special Immigrant Visa applications. By law, these applications need to be approved or denied within nine months. However, they have instead taken three to five years to get resolved. A significant problem has been that many applicants lack appropriate documentation of their work background. Afghans who worked with the CIA or other spy agencies face especially difficult hurdles, since they often have no tangible proof of who they worked with. Many operatives never used their real names. Besides, a significant number of applicants can't produce the money for required medical screenings. In the mean time, the embassy staff in Kabul has already been decimated. It faced increased violence and threats as troops began leaving the country. Thus far it only managed to process about 20% of visa requests. Officials insist that the embassy will continue to process the S.I.V. program even after all U.S. troops have left the country. But continued security threats could well hamper that effort. The Taliban issued a statement of its own, urging Afghans to remain in the country: "The Islamic Emirate would like to inform all the above people that they should show remorse for their past actions and must not engage in such activities in the future that amount to treason against Islam and the country. But none should currently desert the country. The Islamic Emirate will not perturb them, but calls them to return to their normal lives, and if they have expertise in any field, to serve the country. They shall not be in any danger on our part." As might be expected, few in or out of Afghanistan trust the veracity of this declaration. With time running out and the logistics of successfully managing the overwhelming visa backlog unrealistically remote, the potential of a calamitous outcome is becoming more apparent. While pulling out our troops well ahead of schedule may garner some political points at home, if part of our objective is, as it should be, to protect our Afghan allies, this expedited withdrawal ought to be discouraged. Time will be of the essence. We will need all the time we can muster to get the job done. And given the virtual impossibility of completing the visa application process, we should instead focus on getting our interpreters and other co-workers out of the country before we leave. Visas can be processed elsewhere. We need to begin to evacuate those in danger. We can do this. We have done this before. Toward the end of the Vietnam war, during "Operation New Life," we evacuated 111,000 Vietnamese to Guam. Preceding the capture of Saigon by the People's Army of Vietnam (PAVN), "Operation Frequent Wind" evacuated almost all of the American civilian and military personnel, along with thousands of Vietnamese civilians. And when Saddam Hussein's regime attacked Iraq's Kurdish region, the U.S. military evacuated about 6,600 Iraqi Kurds to Guam as well. The process is not new. It just takes political will to set it in motion. A growing number of decision makers have apparently already reached the conclusion that evacuation is the moral and only rational choice. Processing visa applications can certainly be accomplished in a third country or U.S. territory. The State Department and the Department of Defense are reportedly drawing up plans to do just that. There is little time left, and the logistics of such an undertaking in a country experiencing rapidly advancing Taliban control would still be challenging. However, if we fail to protect and extricate our Afghan allies, we are effectively sentencing them and their families to a very uncertain future, including death. That outcome would have a lasting impact on our future partnerships and global reputation. Theo Wierdsma

Saturday, June 19, 2021

QANON GOES MAINSTREAM

When Marjorie Taylor Greene was elected to represent Georgia's 14th Congressional District, most observers wrote it off as an aberration. Her victory was considered a fluke, and not terribly impressive, since she ran unopposed in one of the country's most conservative districts. Posing as an openly committed devotee of QAnon, a far-right conspiracy theory, was so far off center that few expected her beliefs to be consequential, even in our unstable political environment. Who could subscribe to conspiracy theories blended with so-called inside information from an anonymous government official posing as "Q"? Conspiracies like: The federal government has been infiltrated by a satanic, child trafficking ring peopled by Democrats, deep state denizens, and Satan worshipping pedophiles and cannibals; the believe in an adrenochrome conspiracy, spreading the theory that the blood of kidnapped children is being harvested by liberal elites for a drug called adrenochrome, which is actually extracted from the pituitary gland, which offers a psychedelic experience, and holds the promise of immortality for those who take it; the assertion that Covid vaccines are part of Bill Gates' plan for mind control; that the furniture company Wayfair is smuggling trafficked children in its cabinets; that California's wildfires are not natural, but are caused by Jewish space lasers, and so on. QAnon's premise is that we can't trust the people in power; we can't trust the information we've been given; and the only way to save society is to destroy its institutions. Its philosophy is that our hunches can be as or more correct as what we know through reason or evidence. Nobody would believe all this, right? Wrong! What started as an online obsession for the far-right fringe has grown beyond its origins in the dark corners of the internet. Kathryn Olmsted, a U.C. Davis history professor who specializes in the subject, suggested that "what is different now compared to other conspiracy theories in the past is that now there are people in power who are actually spreading the conspiracy theory." The handwriting seems to have been on the wall for some time. During the 2020 election cycle at least two dozen QAnon converts ran for congressional seats. Aside from Marjorie Taylor Greene, only one other candidate was successful: Lauren Boebert, in Colorado's 3rd District. Both of these are up for reelection next year. However, undeterred, QAnon supporters are already counting on the GOP's embrace of the conspiracy theory, and throwing their hats in the ring for a seat in Congress in 2022. Estimates are that, thus far, 19 converts are already poised to run. All but one on the Republican ticket. One independent in Nevada is running under the "Patriot Party of Nevada" banner. Five of these are competing in Florida. What is gradually becoming clear, is that the QAnon conspiracy is no longer the property of a lunatic fringe. In 2020, Time Magazine declared "Q" one of the 25 most influential people on the internet. In March of 2019, "QAnon,: An Invitation to a Great Awaking," a book written by twelve anonymous QAnon followers, peaked at #2 on Amazon's list of best selling books. A December, 2020 NPR/IPSOS poll found that one in three Americans believed in some of the key tenets of its ideology. And the American Enterprise Institute reported that 29% of Republicans surveyed agreed that former President Trump has been secretly fighting a group of child traffickers. The emergence of QAnon can not be dismissed as yet another conspiracy theory, or be relegated to simple expressions of our well documented history of "anti intellectualism. (See Richard Hofstadter, 1963). It is much more than that. The FBI has identified QAnon as a potential terrorist threat.The American University produced a report that revealed a "growing, violent threat from [the] QAnon movement to public safety and democracy," specifying: "creating and amplifying cultural and political divisions; introducing and spreading disinformation and anti-Jewish conspiracy theories; and mobilizing and motivating extreme violence." In keeping with the movement's philosophy, which elevates hunches and conspiracy theories over scientific evidence, converts have been manipulated to trust that their beliefs need not change in response to evidence. This makes us more susceptible to conspiracy theories, science denial and extremism. (Andy Norman, "The Case of America's Post-Truth Predicament," Scientific American, May 18, 2021.) As Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. aptly observed: "Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." Or, to quote the 19th century teacher and philosopher Amos Bonson Alcott, "the ignorance of once ignorance is the malady of the ignorant." We have a lot of work to do before this anomaly undermines our already fragile democratic system. Theo Wierdsma